As I sat courtside at the Araneta Coliseum last week, watching San Miguel battle Terrafirma in what turned out to be a surprisingly competitive game, I couldn't help but notice Kai Sotto sitting just a few rows away with his Koshigaya Alphas coach Ryuzo Anzai. There was something poetic about watching this 7'3" Filipino phenom observing PBA action while being in the midst of his own professional journey through Japan's B.League. It got me thinking about the fascinating pipeline of international talent that's increasingly influencing the NBA landscape, particularly when we talk about breakout candidates for the 2022 season.
The conversation around rising NBA stars has fundamentally shifted in recent years. We're no longer just looking at college standouts or G-League sensations – we need to cast our nets globally to identify true difference-makers. Having covered international basketball for over a decade, I've noticed how the development paths have diversified. Players like Sotto represent this new wave of prospects who are choosing routes outside the traditional NCAA system, gaining professional experience in leagues like Japan's B.League before potentially making their NBA leap. What fascinates me about Sotto's situation is how his time with the Alphas under Coach Anzai's guidance could be preparing him for the physicality and pace of the NBA game in ways that college basketball simply couldn't match.
When we talk about breakout players for the 2022 NBA season, we have to start with the obvious candidates who showed flashes of brilliance last year. Anthony Edwards isn't just a rising star anymore – he's arrived, and I'd argue he's poised to make the jump to legitimate superstar status. The numbers back this up: his playoff performance against Memphis was historically good for a player his age, averaging 25.2 points per game while shooting 45% from the field. What impressed me most wasn't just the scoring – it was his defensive intensity and basketball IQ that showed significant improvement as the season progressed. I've watched nearly every Timberwolves game last season, and the growth in his decision-making between November and April was remarkable.
Then there's Tyrese Maxey, who might be the most exciting young guard in the Eastern Conference. The Sixers guard increased his scoring average from 8.0 points as a rookie to 17.5 last season – that's one of the most significant jumps I've seen from a young player in recent memory. What makes Maxey special, in my opinion, is his incredible efficiency despite increased usage. He shot 48.5% from the field and 42.7% from three-point range while taking nearly five more shots per game than his rookie season. Those aren't just good numbers – they're elite efficiency markers that suggest he's not just getting more opportunities but genuinely improving as a scorer.
The international pipeline brings us to players like Josh Giddey, the Australian guard who recorded four triple-doubles as a teenager last season. Having watched him develop in Australia's NBL before coming to Oklahoma City, I can tell you his court vision is genuinely special. At 6'8", he sees passing lanes that most guards simply don't, and his rebounding instincts are exceptional for his position. The Thunder are clearly building around him and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and I expect his scoring efficiency to improve significantly this season as he gets stronger and develops a more consistent outside shot.
What's interesting about watching Sotto's development path is how it mirrors other international success stories. We saw LaMelo Ball spend time in Australia's NBL before becoming Rookie of the Year, and now we're seeing more prospects choose professional leagues overseas rather than the college route. The physical development that comes from playing against grown men cannot be overstated – the Japan B.League might not have the athleticism of the NBA, but the systems, physicality, and professional approach prepare players in ways that translate well to the next level.
Back to stateside prospects, I'm particularly bullish on Jalen Green taking a significant leap forward. The athleticism has always been there – his combine numbers were off the charts with a 40-inch vertical – but what impressed me most toward the end of last season was his improved shot selection and defensive engagement. Over his final 15 games, he averaged 20.6 points on much better efficiency, and the Rockets are clearly committed to building their offense around his development. I've spoken with scouts who believe he has the highest ceiling in that draft class, and I'm inclined to agree based on what I've seen.
Then there's the curious case of Zion Williamson. Can we still consider him a rising star after missing all of last season? I think so, because if he returns healthy, we're talking about a player who averaged 27.0 points per game on 61% shooting in his last healthy season. Those are MVP-level numbers, and at just 22 years old, he still has room to grow. The Pelicans showed they could be competitive without him last season, but with Williamson back in the lineup, they could surprise a lot of people.
The development of these players reminds me of something I observed while watching Sotto and Coach Anzai at that PBA game. There was a clear mentor-student dynamic, with Anzai frequently leaning over to explain defensive rotations and offensive sets. That type of hands-on coaching is invaluable for young players, and it's something we're seeing more of in the NBA with the rise of player development coaches and specialized training staff. The organizations that invest heavily in development – like Toronto, Miami, and Memphis – consistently get more out of their young players than expected.
As we look ahead to the season, the breakout players won't just be the high lottery picks. Keep an eye on second-year players like Franz Wagner in Orlando, who showed incredible two-way potential as a rookie, or Herb Jones in New Orleans, who might be the best perimeter defender from his draft class. The depth of young talent in the league right now is staggering, and what excites me most is how many of these players are developing complete games rather than being one-dimensional scorers.
Watching that doubleheader in Manila, with Sotto observing and learning, reminded me that player development is rarely linear. Some prospects explode onto the scene immediately, while others take years to put everything together. The common thread among most breakout players is opportunity, coaching, and the internal drive to improve. As the 2022 NBA season approaches, we're fortunate to have so many fascinating young players to follow, each with their own unique path to potential stardom. The league's future has never looked brighter, and I can't wait to watch these stories unfold.